Germany’s big carmakers used to lead the race in China, but now they’re ‘for the parents’

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Germany’s big carmakers used to lead the race in China, but now they’re ‘for the parents’

BEIJING, April 21 (Reuters) – More than 40 years after Volkswagen stole the show at its first Chinese auto fair, it has lost its cutting-edge status in the country, with domestic brands setting the pace for a younger generation of tech-hungry drivers.

The combustion-engine legacy of “Made in Germany” no longer holds much sway in what is now the world’s largest car market, where local automakers are rolling out attractive, affordable electric vehicles that are essentially mobile phones.

“Maybe some young customers perceive us as a parent brand,” the China CEO of the Volkswagen brand, Robert Cisek, told Reuters.

Blinded by the rapid growth of Chinese brands, sales at Volkswagen, its Porsche and Audi units and rivals BMW and Mercedes-Benz have all slumped, threatening to strengthen the bleeding in a market that accounts for a third of their sales.

After spending a quarter century as China’s No. 1 automaker, Volkswagen will be overtaken by EV heavyweight BYD in 2024 and overtaken by Geely in third place in 2025.

For these companies, the transformation of China’s auto market — from a growth driver to a battleground — is “beyond imagination,” Cisek said.

From Market Pioneers to EV Laggards

When Volkswagen participated in its first Chinese auto show in Shanghai in 1985, locals were impressed by the quality of the German automaker’s marketing materials.

“We were met with unimaginably large crowds and our brochures flew off the shelves,” then-CEO Carl Hahn, who oversaw the company’s entry into China, wrote in his memoirs. “For people back then, it was enough to marvel at the quality of paper and print and dream of owning a car.”

Now, the German auto group just needs the glossy paper to make a comeback at this year’s Beijing Auto Show, which starts on Friday.

By dominating combustion-engine car production, automakers like Volkswagen find themselves racing to market with more than one in four new cars fully electric.

As China’s car market boomed and local brands launched a plethora of consumer-friendly EVs, German carmakers lost ground. Collectively, their sales fall by a quarter over five years to 3.9 million vehicles in 2025, according to S&P Global Mobility data.

The challenges have intensified this year as Chinese brands enter the premium segment, targeting affluent consumers who once coveted German quality, analysts said.

Sitting thousands of miles away at their headquarters in Wolfsburg, Stuttgart and Munich, German car executives underestimated the ability of Chinese automakers to quickly dominate EV development.

“They didn’t see this big change coming, and they didn’t see the speed at which it came,” said automotive consultant Felipe Munoz.

Germany’s legacy automakers must spin off their China businesses or lose relevance in a country viewed by executives like Volkswagen CEO Oliver Blume as a way to build the cars of the future.

Under Bloom, Volkswagen Group plans to launch 20 so-called “new energy vehicles” in China this year, including all-electric models, plug-in hybrids and EVs with small combustion engines known as range extenders.

The company will premiere four new EVs in Beijing on Tuesday ahead of the opening of the car show, including mass-market hopefuls developed with Chinese partners FAW and EV maker Xpeng, as well as the latest China-only AUDI, a new brand where the premium marque’s all-caps name takes its world-renowned place. It was jointly developed with China’s SAIC.

The burden of inheritance

Yale Zhang, managing director of Shanghai-based research firm Automotive Foresight, said German brands were being “killed” by their own heritage and resistance to rapid change.

“You can’t really rely on your chrome metal strips, your napa leather seats and your ‘one hundred years’ history to convince consumers,” Zhang said.

Even German automakers are sometimes reluctant to embrace technology from new Chinese rivals.

Now, Volkswagen, Mercedes and BMW are increasingly looking to catch up with Chinese suppliers, including autonomous driving leader Momenta and in-car software developer ECARX.

While “Made in Germany” has become a trusted hallmark internationally, younger consumers – including in China – are more likely to avoid German cars, according to a consumer survey by Beryls in January conducted by AlixPartners.

“The good thing is, of course, there is this reliability when it comes to safety, reliability and quality of Volkswagen,” Cisek said. “At the same time, it’s also a bit of a burden.”

(Reporting by Joo-Min Park, Rachel More and Zhang Yan; Editing by Nick Carey, Alexander Smith and Thomas Derpinghaus)

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