I/O Fund analysts Beth Kindig says Nvidia could be a $20 trillion company by 2030, a prediction that implies a 340% upside from its current market value.
CEO Elon Musk says that physical AI could make Tesla a $25 trillion company in the future, a prediction that represents a 1,560% upside from its current market value.
Nvidia trades at a very reasonable valuation, but Tesla is hard to value because physical AI products are a negligible source of revenue today.
10 Stocks We Like Better Than Nvidia ›
Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA ) and Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA ) These are two of the most valuable companies in the world because they are deeply involved in the artificial intelligence (AI) revolution. Nvidia supplies fast computing platforms that power AI workloads, and Tesla is developing autonomous driving technology and humanoid robots.
Some experts think that the value of the companies will be much higher (at least $20 trillion) in the future:
I/O Fund analyst Beth Kindig says Nvidia could be worth $20 trillion by 2030. This represents a nearly 340% increase from its current market value of $4.5 trillion.
CEO Elon Musk says Tesla could be worth $25 trillion at some point in the future. That represents an upside of about 1,560% from its current market value of $1.5 trillion.
Here’s what investors need to know about these AI stocks.
Nvidia graphics processing units (GPUs), the chips that accelerate data center workloads, are the industry standard in artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure. Not only because they consistently outshine GPUs from other chipmakers, but Nvidia also complements its GPUs with hardware and software. The company says it takes a “full-stack” approach to faster computing.
Nvidia will account for nearly 85% of AI accelerator sales in 2025, and many analysts expect the company to maintain a similar level of dominance in the coming years. While other chips may be cheaper, Nvidia systems typically have the lowest total cost of ownership because customers don’t need to integrate hardware from different suppliers, nor do they have to build software development tools from scratch.
Last week, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang dismissed concerns about an AI bubble at the World Economic Forum in Davos. “There is a trillion dollar infrastructure requirement [be] He commented during the interview. In fact, Grand View Research estimates that data center GPU sales will grow at 36% annually through 2033, and I/O Fund analyst Beth Kindig expects Nvidia’s data center revenue growth to match that pace.
Wall Street estimates that Nvidia’s adjusted earnings will grow at 38% annually over the next three years. This makes the current valuation of 46 times earnings look quite reasonable. I think Nvidia can achieve a $20 trillion market value in the future, but I’m skeptical about the timing. It could happen by 2030, but 2035 seems more plausible.
However, the current share price is attractive compared to forward earnings estimates, so patient investors should consider buying a small position today.
Last year, Tesla lost its position as the global leader in electric car sales to the Chinese automaker BYD. But investors are shrugging off market share losses and correspondingly disappointing financial results as the investment thesis now focuses on physical AI, a discipline that includes autonomous cars and robots.
Tesla’s full self-driving (FSD) software is available in the US and (pending regulatory approvals) could launch in Europe and China in February. The company will monetize FSD directly through subscription sales and indirectly through autonomous vehicle sharing services. Alphabet‘s Waymo is currently the market leader with commercial robottaxi services in five US cities. But Tesla plans to expand from two cities to seven cities by 2026 and believes its unique approach-only strategy will support rapid scaling.
Tesla is also building a humanoid robot called Optimus that could significantly disrupt the global job market by automating a wide range of tasks, and not just dangerous and boring work, but surgery and other tasks that require delicacy and precision. CEO Elon Musk says Optimus will eventually be the most important product the company sells, accounting for 80% of its value.
Physical AI is a significant opportunity for Tesla. Grand View Research expects the robottaxi market to expand at 99% annually by 2033. Meanwhile, Morgan Stanley predicts sales of autonomous vehicles will reach $4 trillion annually by 2040, while sales of humanoid robots will grow at 54% annually by 2035.
Here’s the big picture: Musk says Tesla’s expertise in physical AI is unparalleled. “Nobody can do what we do,” he told analysts last year. However, determining the value of stocks is very difficult. The core electric car business is struggling, and physical AI products are not yet a physical source of revenue. This creates implementation risk.
In other words, while Tesla may actually be worth $25 trillion in the future, it may be worth much less if the company fails to execute on opportunities in robotaxis and robots. In fact, if investors lose faith in the physical AI story and start valuing Tesla as an automotive stock, shares could easily drop 90%.
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Trevor Gennevin has positions in Nvidia and Tesla. The Motley Fool has and recommends positions in Alphabet, Nvidia, and Tesla. The Motley Fool recommends BYD Company. Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
2 AI stocks to buy before they hit $20 trillion, according to Wall Street experts was originally published by The Motley Fool.
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