The price of Doritos rose 50% in four years and PepsiCo waited until it lost billions to do something about it

admin

The price of Doritos rose 50% in four years and PepsiCo waited until it lost billions to do something about it

The skyrocketing prices of Doritos, Lay’s and Cheetos drove away cash-strapped consumers and cost Frito billions. The company is certainly cutting prices to do right, but its efforts may be too slow.

Ahead of the Super Bowl, PepsiCo subsidiary Frito-Lay began cutting prices on its portfolio of chips products such as Lay’s, Doritos, Cheetos and Tostitos by 15% as consumers sought cheaper alternatives. The rapid pivot in chip prices comes after years of price hikes that have shaved $50 billion from the company’s market value since its peak in 2023.

“People don’t have to choose between great taste and staying within their budget,” PepsiCo US Foods CEO Rachel Ferdinand said in a statement before the price drop.

In the beverage business, Pepsi’s products come second only to Coca-Cola, but thanks to the dominance of Frito-Lay, which owns about 60% of the US salty snack market, it has some pricing power that has helped make it Pepsi’s moneymaker. In 2024, Frito made up about 27% of the company’s revenue.

Yet this force combined with a pandemic-era push to accommodate higher supply-chain costs sent prices skyrocketing. Over four years, the price of a 14.5 ounce “party size” Doritos bag at Walmart rose from $3.98 to $5.94 in 2021 — a nearly 50% increase, Bloomberg reported, citing data from Atain, which tracks consumer spending metrics. Some chip prices have reportedly even exceeded $7.

PepsiCo did not immediately respond fateRequest for comment.

Initially, the shopkeepers did not object to the price hike. Due in part to higher prices, Frito-Lay’s net revenue fell 13% between 2020 and 2021 and another 9% between 2021 and 2022, according to filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. These gains exceeded the company’s guiding mantra of “Frito-lay Five Forever” by which the company grew its revenue by 5% every year for decades.

“The Frito business is the jewel of PepsiCo,” PepsiCo CEO Ramon LaGuarta said during an investor call in 2023 at the height of the company’s success, talking about what he described as Frito-Lay’s huge margins. “Whatever the consumer has, we’ll be the preferred choice, I think.”

The problem is that Frito-La chip prices never came down, despite Walmart allegedly pressuring the company to lower its prices and then cutting its shelf space, Bloomberg reported. Instead, the company implemented alternatives such as cheaper multi-packs with fewer bags; New version of breakfast without artificial colors; and snacks high in protein and fiber, the outlet reported.

However, beginning in 2023, consumers began to reject the higher prices. Frito-Lay’s revenue turned negative in 2024 for the first time in more than a decade of growth. Pulled down by its chips and snacks subsidiary, PepsiCo’s market value has fallen by $50 billion by the end of 2025 from its peak in 2023. The company’s stock is also down about 22% from its May 2023 peak of $196. The stock was trading at $153 as of Tuesday afternoon.

In the packaged food industry, companies aggressively raised prices during the pandemic as the phenomenon of “loveflation” took hold. Even before the Iran war began in March, three out of four Americans said groceries were so expensive that they were forced to cut costs elsewhere in their budgets, according to point-of-sale company Toast. The impact of the Middle East conflict on global supply chains threatens to increase Americans’ grocery bills. Rising prices for fertilizer, much of which flows through the Strait of Hormuz near Iran’s coast, could raise the price of corn, which is used in many products in the U.S., including Frito-Lay brands such as Doritos and Fritos.

Despite its reluctance to cut prices, in September, activist investor Elliott Investment Management helped bring a new sense of affordability to PepsiCo. Hedge funds bought $4 billion worth of shares in the company and demanded more affordable prices.

As part of the deal with Elliott, the company announced in December that it would cut the price of some salty snacks by 15%. The company has also said that it will reduce the number of products sold by 20 percent.

Still, it’s unclear how effective the move will be and how the price cuts will roll out. A 14.5-ounce bag of Doritos was still listed at $5.94 as of Tuesday on Walmart’s website.

PepsiCo continues to see growth in its North American food segment slow, partly due to consumer affordability pressures, according to a note by Zacks Investment Research.

“The business is still navigating affordability concerns and competitive pressures in the market. To address this, PepsiCo is implementing sharper price points, expanding value propositions, and refreshing key brands, but the segment’s near-term growth projections are somewhat limited,” the note said.

This story was originally featured on Fortune.com

Leave a Comment